THROWING COLD WATER ON HOT CLIMATE MODELS

February 15, 2021, 10:52 pm

US analyst Dr David Wojick post at CFact: "The only climate model that agrees with observations says there is NO climate emergency. Meanwhile half of the IPCC models are getting hotter than ever before, hence getting further from reality than ever before. A modeling showdown is looming and CLINTEL is a leader among the climate critics. They make a strong plea that in the current health emergency any climate action should be put on hold. “Why construct a false climate crisis on top of a true corona crisis?”

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Robert Lyman writes for Friends of Science Calgary: "There are four ways in which actual global trends are diverging more and more from the predictions upon which climate activists base their claims of impending catastrophe and allegedly 'inevitable decarbonization' of the world economy. After almost thirty years of measurement, the gentle rise in average global temperatures is near the bottom of the range projected by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). If, as many now expect, the world enters a cooling trend over the next few decades, average temperatures will fall entirely outside that range, and demonstrate conclusively that the IPCC models do not provide a reliable foundation for climate policy."

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THE CHANGING CLIMATE OF SCIENCE

February 15, 2021, 10:52 pm

The Cornwall Alliance posts: "Have mathematical models replaced good old-fashioned scientific testing? An understanding of the big picture in a field of study helps to frame and give essential perspective to that field. Take the field of natural science for instance. A big-picture look at the overall operation of the natural science profession has traditionally been seen in the “scientific method,” which consists of observation, hypothesis and testing. Rigorous testing of a hypothesis eventually leads to a “theory.”... Of late, mathematical modeling, an essential investigative tool, appears to have taken over the world of natural science. And with the ascension of modeling, the focus in scientific endeavors — particularly in the practice of atmospheric science — may have shifted away from the rigour of testing to verify a hypothesis and toward constructing a model to represent a theory."

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This not a joke. Anthony Watts reports on his blog WUWT: "According to her mother Malena Ernman (48), 16-year-old Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg can see CO2 with the naked eye. She writes that in the book ‘Scenes from the heart. Our life for the climate’, which she wrote with her family."

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The Cornwall Alliance posts an article from the Washington Times that tells us: "In short, a great deal of what the mainstream media report, and politicians tout, as the sure results of solid climate science are anything but. The best evidence continues to be that natural causes of climate change—whether warming or cooling, wetting or drying, blowing or calming—far outweigh human contribution through CO2 and other greenhouse gases. So, don’t be tricked into embracing climate-change/global-warming alarmism. There’s science, and then there’s sleight-of-hand masquerading as science."

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THE EXTINCTION OF HONEST SCIENCE

February 15, 2021, 10:52 pm

Tony Thomas posts cogently at Quadrant in Australia: "Warmists' predictions of climate doom haven't come to pass or anything like it, but give them credit for agility and perseverance in always concocting a fresh scare. The latest meme to keep grants flowing and careers on track: the purported mass die-off of species large and small."

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“Global mean temperatures before 1980 are based on untrustworthy data,” writes Dr Mototaka Nakamura of MIT: “Before full planet surface observation by satellite began in 1980, only a small part of the Earth had been observed for temperatures with only a certain amount of accuracy and frequency. Across the globe, only North America and Western Europe have trustworthy temperature data dating back to the 19th century.”

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Former Canadian Provincial Minister James Matkin, in this 148-page paper, begins by describing claims of a 97% "consensus" in favour of climate alarmism as "Bunk. There is no such consensus. In fact there was a serious divide between the IPCC scientists and the UN on the science of human caused climate change. ...This 97% meme gets far too much attention when the real issue is why have leaders like Al Gore lied about the support of the 2000 scientists employed in the IPCC Working Group failure to ‘detect’ evidence of human caused warming."

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This is a second posting of a paper by three of the world's most distinguished climate science authorities: Professors Will Happer, Steven Koonin and Richard Lindzen, which some of our followers have had difficulty in accessing from our website. It is a convincing and timeless document, that concludes: "Projections of future climate and weather events rely on models demonstrably unfit for the purpose. As a result, rising levels of CO2 do not obviously pose an immediate, let alone imminent, threat to the earth’s climate."

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And here is a commentary by our Climate Science Coalition chair, Hon Barry Brill: Link to Barry

Our Coalition chairman, Hon Barry Brill, has welcomed the tutorial produced by three eminent US professors to help a California judge gain an understanding of the arguments involved in the 'global warming' debate now known as 'climate change'(see items dated April 2 below).

Credible Consensus[1].pdf

H. Sterling Burnett, Ph.D., a senior fellow on environmental policy at The Heartland Institute, posts at Epoch Times:. "In short, the oft-repeated assertions that weather is getting more extreme, is patently false. Drought, flooding, hurricane, and tornado numbers are well within their normal historic range of severity and frequency. Looking at the data, there is absolutely no basis for alarm."

Note: You may need to enter your email address for free entry to Epoch Tines website to read full article - it's simple.

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This edited transcript on EIIR of an interview with Professor Larry Bell about Rupert Darwall's book, "Green Tyranny" is chock full of facts and figures that rebut alarmist claims about 'climate'change' and "renewable' energy.

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An important new paper by Dr David Whitehouse for the Global Warming Policy Foundation reveals that 2019 was mostly without sunspots. For a long period, the Sun was spot-free for 90% of the time, making the period of minimum activity at the end of Solar Cycle 24* and the beginning of Cycle 25 one of the deepest solar minima ever observed. Understanding the 11-year solar cycle is important, not just for the science of the Sun, but also for appreciating and predicting its influence on Earth and its climate. This paper discusses some of these issues.

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Have you thought to yourself that the Climate Change movement seems more and more like a religious movement? Will at Medium has, so he researched how to identify a religious cult. Rick Ross, an expert on cults and intervention specialist, developed a list of ten warning signs for unsafe groups, which is published by the Cult Education Institute. They're in the link below:

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Robert Lyman is an economist with 35 years’ experience as an analyst, policy advisor and manager in the Canadian federal government, primarily in the areas of energy, transportation and environmental policy. In this paper, titled "Transition to Reality" for the Global Warming Policy Foundation, he explains why prospects for rapid decarbonisation face 'perhaps insurmountable obstacles'.

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World leaders who met recently at Davos have been told that they mislead people about alleged dangers of 'climate change' when they permit the circulation of unproven predictions based on computer models. The advice came from Dr Guus Berkhout, president of the 820-member World Climate Inteligence (CLINTEL).

Download letter to Davos leaders pdf

Here's the link to Dr Berkhout's full essay (38 pages: needs a little time to download):

Download pdf of essay.pdf

The CO2 Coalition in America has issued a memo to the media correcting the record on how they cover stories related to climate science in an increasingly polarized news cycle. The memo is written by Dr. Caleb Rossiter, a climate statistician and the Executive Director of the CO2 Coalition, a group of climate scientists and energy economists that includes two former Trump administration officials, White House science adviser Will Happer and former EPA deputy Mandy Gunasekara.

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Professor Larry Bell describes at Newsmax how fossils fuels have saved people in Canada and U.S. from freezing to death in the current severe cold snap.

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"Seriously, folks, we’re supposed to be seeing all kinds of bad stuff. But none of it has happened. No cities gone underwater. No increase in heat waves or cold waves. No islands sinking into the ocean. No increase in hurricanes. No millions of climate refugees. The tragedies being pushed by the failed serial doomcasters for the last 30 years simply haven’t come to pass." Willis Eschenbach posts at WUWT.

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